Our core team of professionals, positioned within rings of external experts in diverse sectors has continued a long tradition of flexibility in adapting to continuous change. For more than three decades, we have always done our own primary research prior to integrating other, outside analyses. Seamans Holdings adheres to a strict discipline that demands fundamental and quantitative research on global interest rates, specific currencies, commodities, and global stock markets.
Richard Seamans is recognized around the world as an investment strategist and an investor in resource equities. The investment team has various knowledge sets and capabilities within the investing space. Our firm’s deep background in energy and resource investing gives us a unique ability to successfully invest in renewable energy and its related technologies. Additionally, we are knowledgeable about the metals and materials necessary to support the development of clean energy technologies.
Research, combined with our strategic partnerships, allowed us to take advantage of the 2002-2011 resource investment cycle: from 2002-2011, Seamans Capital Management produced a 23.0% net average annual return in our Global Energy Income portfolio and a 28.4% net average annual return in our Global Opportunities portfolio.
How did we achieve that record? We have cultivated deep expertise calling market turns:
Anticipated change in Federal Reserve policy would lead to rising real interest rates, increased market volatility and outperformance of real assets and stocks with strong and rising free cash flows.
Predicted next rise in commodity prices particularly those which were required for the transition to the new green economy.
Geopolitical and social economic trends increased our focus on alternative financial systems, including digital and crypto currencies and non-fungible tokens.
As solar became cost competitive with conventional energy, our focus shifted to renewable energy energy and essential services and technologies of the emerging green economy.
November 2008 - April 2011
Foresaw the end of the commodities bull market with a change in China’s 5-year plan from an export led economy to an internally led consumption economy.
Predicted the price of gold would rise to its inflationary adjusted high over the next decade.
Based on fundamental analysis, suggested the US dollar index had peaked after a 50% rise since 1992 and that it would decline by 20% to 40% over the next decade.
Predicted commodities would outperform stocks 2 to 3 fold over the next 14 years because of the rapid growth of the emerging markets middle class, particularly in China. Main beneficiaries would be conventional energy base and precious metals and related stocks.